Over our
long human history, we have experienced several huge waves of change and will
certainly see many more during the existence of Homo sapiens. In fact, when change ceases, it probably means that
we are extinct.
The early
hunter/gatherers were put out of business by the agrarians. Then the agrarians
were pulled off the farm by the siren call of mill and manufacturing jobs. Manufacturing
jobs then gave way to service and knowledge workers. All of these major changes
were driven by technological innovation.
And the
common theme is that, while at the time each wrenching disruption was viewed as
a horrendous cause of unemployment, in the end there were far more jobs created
than were lost.
Agriculture
demanded the harvesting and storage and processing of crops. Manufacturing
drove a need for factory builders and factory workers and distribution networks
for raw materials and finished goods. The knowledge revolution required
scientists and technicians and skilled assemblers, as well as a huge panoply of
service workers. In each case, the demand for workers increased sharply, though
the required skill mix changed.
Now we are
faced with another major change enabled by advanced computing. Artificial intelligence
(AI), the ability of computers to serve in place of human workers, was
anticipated by scientists in the 1950s and 60s. It was logical that reasoning
machines could supplant humans in specific tasks, but the computers of that
time were woefully inadequate.
But now they
are more than adequate, and people are worried. Robots are one face of artificial
intelligence and they are here, now.
A recent
Wall Street Journal report gives us some succor. As before, this technological
wave will be a huge job creator at the same time that some routine workers are
displaced.
In an
article titled “Seven Jobs that Robots Will Create – or Expand,” the WSJ gives
us some insight into new occupations that will come into being.
AI Builder – these are the PhD
scientists, but also skilled machinists and builders, who will create the
robots that will live among us. These robots will range from simple automated
vacuum cleaners and lawn mowers to complex factory assemblers to military
scouts and drones. The AI builder jobs will require high STEM and precision manufacturing
skills. These are not minimum wage jobs.
Customer-Robot Liaison – mainly addressing
the needs of corporate customers, robot manufacturers will need to keep their clients
happy with the robots. These jobs are more of a customer satisfaction role and,
while requiring some knowledge of technology, the main focus is social and personal
interrelationship skills.
Robot Managers – while robots can be incredibly
efficient, they are also incredibly stupid about things outside of their known
context. Robot managers will oversee the behavior of robots, such as security bots,
and ensure that they are performing properly. For instance, if a security bot
continues to raise the alarm when the FedEx guy arrives, that must be fed back
to the AI builders for correction. More importantly, the customer must be kept
comfortable. This job will require people skills as well.
Data Labelers – computers have no
native understanding of our world. For AI to perform useful tasks, we must
explain what everything is. This crucial task is done by humans who label
pertinent data, allowing the AI to learn. Mehdi Miremadi of McKinsey & Co. tells us that companies developing self-driving
cars may have “hundreds and hundreds of folks, even more, sitting and labeling
data.” According to TechRepublic, this may be the “new blue-collar job of the AI
era.”
Drone Performance Artists – in the purely
creative and artistic realm, drones are already being used in the arts as “dynamic
light installations and flying props.” Artists who have a certain level of technical
chops will be very successful in employing these machines in their own, or
their customers’, shows or events. Like a photographer who needed to learn the technology
of cameras, these artists will need to master drones.
AI Lab Scientists – one example here is
AI used in pharmacological research. When the AI discovers a potentially useful
medicinal compound, it must be rigorously tested. Human scientists and
technicians are required to confirm that the newly discovered medicine is
effective with no unacceptable side effects. AI will speed discoveries, but
human involvement is fundamentally necessary.
Safety and Test Drivers – self driving
vehicles hold great promise. But there have already been some tragic accidents.
Uber and Google and others involved in autonomous vehicles employ test drivers
to ensure that the units are operating properly. In addition, some companies are
now offering semi-autonomous shuttles to move people about but require a safety
driver to oversee the operation of the automation. For the foreseeable future,
there will be many people involved in this arena.
These are
just a handful of new jobs that are being created by the AI revolution. And
there will be many more, most of them unanticipated. In the meanwhile, medical
and service jobs will continue to grow.
There will
be no shortage of jobs. Only, perhaps, a reluctance to retool oneself. While
perhaps not for any one of us, our childrens’ future is bright.
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